Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.849631 0.994083 1.155480 1.349177 1.575372 1.831237 2.142767
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.654951 0.856913 1.108637 1.445500 1.884816 2.438852 3.191712
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.534176 0.756940 1.057122 1.491334 2.104078 2.939221 4.166728
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.443962 0.671188 0.997387 1.500006 2.256184 3.353859 5.073465
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.373510 0.597088 0.936038 1.487544 2.364360 3.708196 5.932472
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.320856 0.539121 0.886521 1.479960 2.471114 4.065675 6.837885
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.283340 0.498218 0.855744 1.494198 2.609576 4.485128 7.895404
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.241574 0.443005 0.792192 1.441888 2.625095 4.697755 8.626080
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.229912 0.438530 0.814324 1.540922 2.916699 5.420721 10.354620
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.200153 0.396165 0.762238 1.496124 2.937559 5.657328 11.216047
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.174109 0.356925 0.710245 1.443297 2.934003 5.844485 12.003078
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.153031 0.324387 0.666544 1.400047 2.941906 6.051894 12.854100
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.140808 0.308754 0.655353 1.423395 3.092885 6.573101 14.444407
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.136624 0.309679 0.678559 1.522929 3.419610 7.503123 17.047225
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.128299 0.300230 0.678283 1.571084 3.640902 8.237655 19.326101
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.117881 0.284448 0.661826 1.580212 3.775065 8.797307 21.286252
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.107150 0.266306 0.637425 1.567083 3.854859 9.242446 23.038099
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.097980 0.250582 0.616477 1.559093 3.945452 9.723904 24.946294
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.091146 0.239667 0.605540 1.574093 4.094523 10.364852 27.344451
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.081234 0.219439 0.568960 1.518984 4.058137 10.543012 28.579801
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.080332 0.222788 0.592411 1.623317 4.451451 11.861794 33.018243
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.072329 0.205790 0.560809 1.576121 4.433009 12.107460 34.581780
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.064823 0.189097 0.527806 1.520468 4.383597 12.264000 35.920903